Insights on Bitcoin, tokenized assets, stablecoins, and the future of institutional DeFi.
Walk-forward validation exposed critical failures in two classifiers. Here's how we recalibrated our model to achieve 71.9% directional accuracy—and why honest validation is the only path to predictive edge.
How we built a Wild Bootstrap OLS regression model with 59% directional accuracy—and what we learned about separating signal from noise. An in-depth look at the methodology behind BitVault's internal Bitcoin analytics platform.
How the convergence of DeFi and traditional finance is creating a superior collateral class for institutional stablecoins. Large-cap equities offer 30-day annualized volatility of 15-25%, compared to Bitcoin's typical range of 50-80%.
How global monetary fragmentation is strengthening the case for BTC-backed stablecoins. The Fed has initiated Treasury purchases while the BOJ raised rates to 30-year highs - a divergence that signals structural stress in global liquidity coordination.
